Florida’s upcoming primary is a very important one in the Republican race. There is simply no way around that … there is a huge number of delegates up for grabs, in a winner-take-all situation. This is also the first major “closed” primary. That means that there will be no independents or Democrats voting in the race (in NH, for example, Undeclared voters may vote in either primary … in Michigan, voters could vote in either primary regardless of registration).
This primary is also made especially important because of Rudy Giuliani’s unorthodox strategy, which had him abandoning the early states for larger, more delegate-rich (and less conservative) states. He, therefore, is a larger factor now than he has been in previous states.
In the delegate race, this is a big deal — the winner in Florida will almost certainly pull ahead in the delegate race. Unlike other states, where the winner might get the same delegates as a candidate who finishes in a close second, the winner in Florida gets them all. All 57 of them. Romney, the current leader in GOP delegates, has 59 delegates. If Rudy Giuliani, who currently has only 1 delegate, wins that 57, he suddenly comes to a very close second, from his current position behind Ron Paul and the withdrawn Fred Thompson (tied, I think, with withdrawn Duncan Hunter, who picked up a delegate in Wyoming).
So, what does all of this mean? Read the rest of this entry »